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How does it work?
The RBP Snapshot is designed to provide you with an objective way to asses a
company's value.
When you use the RBP Snapshot, you should measure the RBP and RBP components
against the actual performance-to-date. We give you this number: It is called
LTM (last twelve months) performance. The closer these two numbers are the more
fairly valued the company might be. The farther apart the numbers are, the more
over-valued the company could be. If the RBP is lower than the
performance-to-date, the company might be under-valued. But remember that a
large variance between what is required and what has been done does not
necessarily mean the company is under- or overvalued. It might be possible for
the company to achieve its RBP - you have to do the research to find out. The
RBP Snapshot simply provides an objective data point from which to start.
It is also important to note that the RBP and RBP components only give you half
of the answer. They tell you how much a company has to do to support its
current stock price; they don't tell you whether the company can actually do
it. You must ask the most important due diligence question: Can it be done? Can
management deliver the performance to support the price of its stock?
A guide to this question can be found in the RBP probability. The higher the RBP
probability, the more likely the management of a company will deliver the
required business performance to support the price of the stock. The higher
stock prices go, the lower the RBP probability goes; in a sense, as the stock
price gets higher the harder it becomes for management to perform and vice versa.
But remember the RBP probability is a good starting point, and is not a
substitute for doing good research; you still need to do the research before
making an investment decision.
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